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Special Report: Analysis & Opinion
Shrink Missouri:
How Sham Reform Fooled the Voters and the Court And What It Means for BCRA
By Roy Schotland, Professor of
Law, Georgetown University Law Center
Editor’s Note: In this article, Schotland
argues that BCRA is the latest in a line of "sham" efforts that claim to
reform campaign finance, but hide provisions that protect incumbent
lawmakers. He suggests the Supreme Court should look beyond the law's
"façade." He notes in the first section of the article that the Court
has been fooled before by "sham reform," strikingly so in its 2000 decision
in Nixon v. Shrink Missouri Government PAC.
Shrink Missouri Government
was surely one of the all-time best-named cases in the Supreme Court.
Missouri set contribution limits for state officials that were attacked as
unconstitutionally low, e.g., $525 for a State Senate candidate. The limits
were lower than any previously upheld by the Court—but six Justices found
them constitutional.
As Justice Souter said for the Court, the State’s goal was to meet the
“threat from politicians too compliant with the wishes of large
contributors” and to “prevent corruption and the appearance of it that flows
from munificent campaign contributions.” Or as Justice Breyer wrote in
concurring, such restrictions “seek to protect the integrity of the
electoral process” and “to democratize the influence that money itself may
bring to bear upon the electoral process.” He went on: “I agree that the
legislature understand[s] the problem—the threat to electoral integrity, the
need for democratization—better than do we.”
Justice Breyer couldn’t have been more correct—but only
ironically. In fact, the Court looked at only the provision they were
sustaining, ignoring the rest of the statutory scheme. That scheme as a
whole shows that this one provision was a sham—the appearance of reform to
meet concern about the appearance of corruption.
The limits sustained in Shrink apparently satisfied the
drive for reform in Missouri, but fooled the people and fooled the Court.
Perhaps Shrink exemplified what Justice O’Connor
recently described wisely: “[R]are indeed is the legal victory—in court or
legislature—that is not a careful byproduct of an emerging social
consensus.”3 Certainly
the view of campaign finance reform as aimed at noble goals, is “an emerging
social consensus.” Amici supporting Missouri included the Solicitor
General, scores of Attorneys General, Members of Congress and political
scientists, urging “the restoration and preservation of citizens’ faith in
the democratic process.”4
The brief for 29 States said “The States aim … to increase the public’s
confidence in their elected officials …. Campaign finance reforms … are the
product of the public’s outrage at a government that appears to be slipping
further away from the people it serves…. [C]ontribution limits [are set] in
the justifiable belief that these limits are necessary to ferret out the
potentially corrupting role of big dollars in political campaigns.”
For years and with remarkable frequency, editorial and Op-Ed
pages have supported campaign finance reform, e.g., praising the Shrink
decision for upholding “tight limits.”5
But while editorialists need not take the larger view, the Court certainly
should. And in the larger view, not only of Missouri law but of campaign
finance “reform” generally, it is naive to believe the Missouri legislators
aimed at reform. Our history of campaign finance shows a parade, from the
beginning, of sham reforms.6
Surely there is reason to explore whether, when legislators change the rules
for their campaigns, they are pursuing “reform” or its opposite: incumbent
protection.7
The Missouri law is a classic example of “reform” as mere
façade, hiding potent incumbent protection.
Sham
Reform: The Supreme Court, in Shrink Missouri, upheld the appearance
of reform and missed the striking reality, a Potemkin statute.
The Missouri
provision seems a simple limit on contributions, set at low levels to avoid
corruption.
The Court missed how porous are Missouri’s limits. Missouri is
one of the 11 States with the least regulation on party fundraising.8
That means that the statute at issue in Shrink suffers not mere
loopholes—to borrow from the familiar image about laws like swiss cheese,
this statute is only a crumb of cheese with funds flowing freely all around
it.
The only moment of reality at the Court was in oral argument,
when the Chief Justice asked the Solicitor General (an amicus) whether there
were “alternate channels” for contributors.
Waxman replied: “[I]ndeed … it is even more true in Missouri
than it is under Federal law, because, for example ... individuals can make
unlimited contributions to political party committees, that is, political
parties can create committees and, unlike the Federal law, which limits how
much one can give to a political party or PAC, Missouri doesn’t apply any
limits.”
Consider how many ways Missouri allows big contributors to get
around the façade of contribution limits.
(1)
As the Solicitor General noted, Missouri has no
limit on how much a person (or any entity) can give to political party
committees or PACs.
(2)
Missouri has no “aggregate” limit on how much a
contributor can give to all candidates and committees.
(3)
Missouri has no limits on how much any
committee can give to other committees.
(4)
Missouri has no limits at all on contributions
from or spending by corporations, unions, PACs or any regulated industry.
(5) On contributions to candidates, the low limit has one exception: a
“party committee” (i.e., registered as such) can give to a candidate 10
times the limit on other contributors. E.g. for a gubernatorial candidate,
a “party committee” can give $10,750 in funds and another $10,750 in-kind.
That is entirely reasonable, considering that parties are our uniquely “big
tent” organizations, the only ones with the mission of building consensus.
But—
(6) The
$21,500 limit is another facade: every party committee in the State
can give that much to each state or local candidate.
How many party committees in Missouri? Currently, there are 110 Democratic
committees, 125 Republican, eight Libertarian, two Green, and 11 other
committees. During the 2002 election cycle, 58 Democratic, 64 Republican,
and nine others reported receipts, contributions, and expenditures.
Of course, having
every committee give to every candidate would need more money than is
realistic—but below we see that in fact, surprisingly large sums do flow
through the party committees. Unsurprisingly, since non-party committees
are covered by the low limit on contributions to candidates but unlimited in
what they can give to other committees, the major non-party committees give
all or almost all their funds to the party committees.
In short, all Missouri does have are low limits on
contributions directly to candidates—which Missouri makes so easy to
avoid.
How
large is the flow of funds in Missouri’s sham?
Compare Missouri
with the four States closest in population: Maryland, Tennessee, Washington
and Wisconsin.
|
Total Contributions
to State Candidates |
|
|
Missouri |
Wisconsin |
Washington |
Tennessee |
Maryland |
|
1996 |
$7,714,227 |
$831,743 |
$28,034,358 |
$7,436,001 |
$0 |
|
1998 |
$14,140,917 |
$14,067,616 |
$11,410,733 |
$15,053,177 |
$34,531,945 |
|
2000 |
$38,918,801 |
$13,434,207 |
$28,823,813 |
$13,174,981 |
$0 |
|
2002 |
$17,176,506 |
$10,712,745 |
$5,150,475 |
$25,360,019 |
$63,187,966 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Contributions
by Party Committees to State Candidates - in dollars |
|
|
Missouri |
Wisconsin |
Washington |
Tennessee |
Maryland |
|
1996 |
$286,519 |
$0 |
$3,572,987 |
$1,359,291 |
$0 |
|
1998 |
$1,174,564 |
$402,426 |
$1,236,191 |
$2,034,344 |
$781,647 |
|
2000 |
$8,081,599 |
$229,947 |
$5,687,129 |
$1,427,145 |
$0 |
|
2002 |
$1,499,578 |
$3,323 |
$246,216 |
$1,854,235 |
$790,653 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Contributions
by Party Committees to State Candidates - in percentages |
|
|
Missouri |
Wisconsin |
Washington |
Tennessee |
Maryland |
|
1996 |
3.71% |
0.00% |
12.75% |
18.28% |
0.00% |
|
1998 |
8.31% |
2.86% |
10.83% |
13.51% |
2.26% |
|
2000 |
20.77% |
1.71% |
19.73% |
10.83% |
0.00% |
|
2002 |
8.73% |
0.03% |
4.78% |
7.31% |
1.25% |
There are States with less regulation than Missouri, but not
many, and certainly not the most comparable States. The above data show the
results of these five States’ very different regulatory schemes. The role
of Missouri party committees has grown, in contrast to the other States
where party committees are more limited and their role has shrunk. Missouri
purported to reform with contribution limits, but the system merely shifts
funds through party committees. The Court, however, missed it.
Justice Breyer is correct that Missouri’s “legislature
understand[s] the problem”— but not as he meant it.
What
does Shrink teach us for BCRA?
No way is BCRA a sham. Rather, the sham is the claim that it
reforms campaign finance. To think that Congress in BCRA reformed
campaign finance –either in the sense of reducing the role of big bucks
and special interests, and/or reducing the incumbent-challenger gap, and/or
reducing the extent to which we allow economic realities to drown our
commitment to “one person one vote”—is naive. First, the history of
campaign finance, from its beginning, is noted above.
Second, does anyone believe that Members of Congress are less interested in
protecting their jobs and status than the state legislatures that in the
past two years have enacted the most incumbent-protective redistricting
ever, producing record noncompetitiveness in House races?
Incumbent protection is anti-democratic, not merely not
reform. Any reform element in BCRA is overwhelmed by four
incumbent-protection provisions:
1) The “Millionaires’ Amendment”: Mortals fear God, but
incumbents fear self-funding candidates. As John McCain put it, "Everyone
is scared to death of waking up in the morning and reading in the newspaper
that some Fortune 500 CEO or some heir or heiress is gonna run against them
and spend $15 million of their own money."
Self-funders usually lose– but win often enough. E.g., in 2000,
two of the six successful Senate challengers were heavily self-financed. In
1998, of the three incumbents who lost, two were defeated by
multi-millionaires.
But BCRA protects incumbents against even mini-millionaires. When
the “Millionaires’ Amendment” was on the floor, Sen. Levin said "the playing
field will be less level for the challenger. For instance, the challenger,
who might want to put $1 million into the campaign ... may mortgage a home
to get the $1 million so that he or she is able to compete against the
incumbent, where the incumbent has $5 million in a campaign account. We make
that situation less level, not more level, because the incumbent is able to
then raise money at the higher contribution levels."
If this provision had been law for the 2000 elections, it would
have come into operation in 35 elections (15 primaries, 20 general
elections).
To see how the provision works, use a House race as an example rather than
bogging down in the “very complicated … mind-boggling” calculations for
Senate races.
If a House incumbent has a warchest of $500,000 (and as of 6/30/03, exactly
106 of the 435 Members already had that much) and the challenger mortgages
her home –her only significant asset—for $1,000,000 and puts that sum into
her campaign, then the incumbent (or other opponent) can get contributions
of up to $6,000 instead of $2,000. In Senate races in 22 small States,
donors to incumbents with warchests who face such mini-millionaires may be
able to make contributions of up to $12,000. (Another benefit for
opponents of self-funders: they’re freed from the ordinary limits on
“coordinated spending” by their parties.)
The inconsistency between
BCRA’s premises –and sales pitch– and the “Millionaires’ Amendment”, is
captured well in one brief for the Supreme Court: “The Government has shown
remarkable intellectual flexibility in defending strict contribution limits
and limits on coordinated party expenditures as essential bulwarks against
corruption, only to abandon those restrictions in the interest of aiding ...
candidates facing wealthy opponents.”
And hiding behind the complex part of the Millionaires'
Amendment is a simple provision even more damaging to challengers: No more
than $250,000 in candidate self-lending can be repaid after the election.
No surprise, this. In House races, self-funding loans total 0.53% of
incumbents' total funds but 24% of challengers' total funds; that's for
2002, but the highest figure in years for incumbents was 1.36% in
1992, contrasting with challengers' lowest figure of 18% in 1996.
Don’t overlook the main role (of what obviously should be called
the anti-Millionaires’ Amendment): helping incumbents by discouraging
self-funders (even mini-millionaires and people willing to take on debt)
from running at all.
2) BCRA hugely helps Mr. and Ms. Money so long as they know
their place, i.e., to merely contribute. Replacing the long-standing
$25,000 limit on an individual’s aggregate contributions each year, BCRA
allows every individual to give up to $95,000 each cycle.
For a big donor who sympathizes with the opponents of self-funders, the
aggregate rises (another boost to Sen. Levin’s hypothetical sad sack with
only $5,000,000 in the warchest) as high as $285,500.
Even with the modest $95,000 limit, BCRA satisfies the drive for
reform only if the details stay hidden. Big donors will be taught the
details.
3) Real reform would include some steps to reduce the unique,
well-known hurdles facing women and minority candidates, and the
incumbent-challenger gap; see n. 7 above. Instead, BCRA worsens the
incumbent-challenger gap in several ways:
a) It
puts parties at a disadvantage to single-interest and single-issue
groups, even more than is generally realized.
To realize how anti-reform this is, consider how much parties and
PACs differ in their support to incumbents and challengers. There can be no
doubt that hurting parties will lead to hurting challengers, and helping
special interest groups will lead to helping incumbents. In 2000 and 1998,
parties gave three times as much to challengers as to incumbents.
PACs in 2000 gave almost three times as much to incumbents as to
challengers, and almost the same in 1998.
b) BCRA
allows federal candidates to appear at fund-raising events conducted by
state and local parties, even for raising soft money– though, of course, the
federal candidate cannot “solicit” soft money (§323(e)(3)). No need for the
federal candidate to directly “solicit” soft money.
What the candidate will solicit is attendance, and the state party people
will solicit the soft money –usually as the price for a closed-door, small
group session with the federal candidate.
By
appearing at such events, candidates energize support from the rest of the
ticket. Who is more likely to be a “featured guest” at such a state party
event, an incumbent or others?
At
oral argument, Justice Ginsburg asked this:
“[W]hy was Congress more
generous to candidates and officeholders than it was
to the parties? A concrete example. A candidate for Federal office can make
a speech at a fundraising event for a state or local candidate, if I read
the statute correctly…,
QUESTION by [Ginsburg or
Scalia]: I thought we were talking about corruption. Surely the
possibility of corruption is much more direct when it's the candidate
himself who was soliciting for this organization, which will then help
him....
QUESTION by [Ginsburg or
Scalia]: But [Congress] went out of its way to allow incumbents to do this.
Went out of its way. It didn't leave a gap. It said we're not going to let
the parties do this, but we will let the candidates do it….
QUESTION by [Ginsburg or
Scalia]: If we found that this law had the purpose or the effect of giving
significant advantage to incumbents, would we have to strike it down under
the First Amendment?
c) BCRA
allows federal candidates’ “agents” to solicit both hard money for the
candidate’s campaign, and at the same time –if the “agent” is also acting
for a state or local party-- to raise any funds allowable under that State’s
law.
There goes the limit on federal candidates’ soliciting soft money.
“Ms. Money, all I can ask you to give the Senator/Congressman is $2,000, but
I’m privileged to be working for our state/county party too, and I know that
you can give far, far more than $2,000, you can really help our ticket of
state/local candidates continue their work for what you and I really care
about ....”
Again, will incumbents or others be more likely to have campaign agents who
are also authorized to act for the state party?
Conclusion
All
that needs adding is a prayer that with BCRA, the Court will get beyond the
façade.
3
O’Connor, The Majesty of the Law (2003), at 166.
4
This paragraph’s quotations are from, respectively: Brief of Senator
John F. Reed et al, at 7; Brief of Ohio et al, at 2, 4; Brief of Paul
Allen Beck et al, at 19; Brief for U.S., at 6, n.4.
Real
reform would get funds to challengers --rather than seeking barriers to
stop fund flows we know,
from 30 years of experience, are bound to run around the barriers. This
can be done by empowering voters with vouchers, or empowering parties
with funds for them to give only to challengers, or directly giving
challengers in-kind support like several free mailings.
The leading scholar on Congressional
elections wrote this: “Usually, the shakeup set in motion by
redistricting produces a bumper crop of competitive races in years
ending in `2.’ Not in 2002 .... Redistricting patterns are a major
reason for the dearth of competitive races in 2002 and help to explain
why 2002 produced the smallest number of successful House challenges
(four) of any general election in U.S. history.... The pattern of House
election results in 2002 reflects redistricting patterns with remarkable
fidelity....” Gary Jacobson, Terror, Terrain, and Turnout: Explaining
the 2002 Midterm Elections, 118 Poli.Sci.Q. 5, 10-11 (2003).
Jill Zuckman, Senate Votes to Level
Election Playing Fields, Chicago Tribune (3/21/01), 10.
Senator Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) noted the extreme irony in “the idea that
somehow we [incumbents] are sort of impoverished candidates…. [W]e are
talking about incumbents who have treasuries of significant amounts and
the power of the office which allows us to be in the press every day, if
we want. We can send franked mail to our constituents at no cost to us.
. . . We do radio and television shows. We can go back to our States
with subsidized airfares.... The idea that somehow we are sort of
impoverished candidates .... I am worried that we are going in the
absolute opposite direction of what the McCain-Feingold bill is designed
to do.” Congressional Record S2542, 3/20/01.
Jennifer Steen, The “Millionaires’ Amendment”, in Malbin, n. 8 above, at
159.
Cong.Rec. S2548, 3/20/01. An
amendment was made to meet some of Levin’s concern, but that amendment
drew continued opposition from Sen. Dodd: “[T]his so-called fix is not
a fix at all. [In Dodd’s example,] the incumbent has a warchest of
$1,000,000, but only $500,000 of that is considered. So when the
wealthy candidate spends $500,000 of his or her own money, no benefits
are triggered. But as soon as that wealthy candidate spends $1,000,000,
the triple limits apply.” S3195, 3/30/01.
Steen, n. 16 above, at 165. For
Senate races, the applicable limits depend on population; also, the
figures vary depending on when in the campaign the calculation is made,
and how much has already been raised as of that date. See 11 CFR 499 (20
pages).
Steen,
noting the difficulty of predicting how the new law might have impacted
2000's elections, found it “conceivable that increased fundraising under
the Millionaires’ Amendment” could have changed the outcome [in] three
Senate elections and three House elections, all general election
match-ups. In each case the loser’s receipts would have increased by as
much as 25% and the loser’s party would have been allowed to make
unlimited coordinated expenditures. In five of the six the margin of
victory was less than five percent, and one election (the 15th district
of Illinois) the margin was under seven percent.” At 220.
“Very complicated ... a mind-boggling
task” for federal regulators and candidates, said Senator Durbin’s
spokesman. (Rick Pearson and Ray Gibson, “Campaign Fund Law has Giant
Loophole: “Millionaire's Amendment may Unleash Spending,” Chicago
Tribune, February 5, 2003, at 1.)
Brevity precludes describing the complexity of calculating the
“opposition personal funds amount” (which must be done repeatedly) and
the “proportionality”, let alone other aspects like what happens if the
self-funder withdraws. Note that for donors, any permissible over-$2000
contribution does not count against the donor’s aggregate limit on
contributions.
In 2002's congressional races, 56
candidates had self-lending that exceeded $250,000.
Steen, at 164.
The ordinary limit of $37,500 to
candidates allows $2,000 contributions to 18 candidates, and $1,500 to a
19th. If one contributed to 19 opponents of self-funded
candidates in 22 States, the aggregate for giving to candidates would
rise to $12,000 x 19 = $228,000. To that, add the $57,500 aggregate cap
on giving to non-candidate committees for the total of $285,500.
From Norman J. Ornstein et al., Vital
Statistics on Congress 2001 -
2002, Table 3-8 (2002). The party amounts are for contributions
plus supportive spending. See also above, n. 7.
11 CFR 300.2. True, this is partly the
statute, partly FEC action. But there will be many such rulings and
regulations, as the FEC creates what BCRA supporters will call
loopholes– created mostly by necessity, given the realities that the
Panglossian statute tries to gloss over.
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